Track record
El track principal cuenta solo los picks marcados como Recomendado — tier Alta. Los picks de tier Media los publicamos como Análisis y tienen su propio mini-track más abajo, claramente separado. ROI = ganancia promedio por pick sobre tu apuesta. Cero cherry-picking, cero backtests sintéticos.
Motor recalibrado — ensemble multi-modelo activo
Los picks anteriores a esta semana usaban un modelo único por deporte. Desde el último ajuste corremos un ensemble que combina tres modelos independientes por pick: estadístico (datos por deporte), Elo (historial de resultados) y mercado (Pinnacle implied). Además agregamos guardrails de calidad: ERA cap, fixtures mínimos en fútbol, juegos mínimos en NBA. El track histórico de arriba mezcla ambas eras — la curva nueva (a partir de hoy) refleja el motor actualizado.
Picks de alta confianza · últimos 30 días
Récord
0-0
Win rate
—
sin picks aún
ROI
+0%
Curva de unidades · Alta · 30d
All-time: 20-15 · 57% · +12.2% ROI
Desglose por tier
Alta = Recomendado (cuenta en el headline). Media = Análisis (mini-track honesto, no se mezcla con el principal). Baja no se publica.
| Tier | Picks | W - L | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alta | 0 | 0 - 0 | — | — |
| Media | 58 | 31 - 27 | 53% | -1.3% |
| Total | 58 | 31 - 27 | 53% | -1.3% |
Por deporte · últimos 30 días
| Deporte | Picks | W - L | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ⚾MLB | 57 | 31 - 26 | 54% | +0.4% |
| ⚽Fútbol | 1 | 0 - 1 | 0% | -100.0% |
Por mercado · últimos 30 días
A veces el modelo es excelente en Money Line pero flojo en totales — aquí lo ves desglosado.
| Mercado | Picks | W - L | Win % | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Money Line | 58 | 31 - 27 | 53% | -1.3% |
| 📏 Línea | 0 | 0 - 0 | — | — |
| 🔢 Totales | 0 | 0 - 0 | — | — |
Últimos resueltos
⚾San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles DodgersMoney Line
28 jun · San Diego Padres@ 2.22final: 2-4
Perdida-1.00u⚾Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati RedsMoney Line
28 jun · Pittsburgh Pirates@ 1.76final: 9-4
Ganada+0.76u⚾Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona DiamondbacksMoney Line
28 jun · Tampa Bay Rays@ 1.57final: 5-1
Ganada+0.57u⚾Detroit Tigers vs Houston AstrosMoney Line
28 jun · Houston Astros@ 1.88final: 5-7
Ganada+0.88u⚾Los Angeles Angels vs AthleticsMoney Line
27 jun · Los Angeles Angels@ 1.92final: 5-2
Ganada+0.92u⚾Chicago White Sox vs Kansas City RoyalsMoney Line
27 jun · Chicago White Sox@ 1.81final: 2-1
Ganada+0.81u⚾Tampa Bay Rays vs Arizona DiamondbacksMoney Line
26 jun · Tampa Bay Rays@ 1.75final: 6-1
Ganada+0.75u⚾Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati RedsMoney Line
26 jun · Pittsburgh Pirates@ 1.59final: 4-6
Perdida-1.00u⚾Boston Red Sox vs New York YankeesMoney Line
25 jun · New York Yankees@ 1.76final: 6-3
Perdida-1.00u⚾Detroit Tigers vs Houston AstrosMoney Line
25 jun · Detroit Tigers@ 1.87final: 1-2
Perdida-1.00u⚾San Francisco Giants vs AthleticsMoney Line
24 jun · Athletics@ 1.93final: 2-1
Perdida-1.00u⚾Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee BrewersMoney Line
24 jun · Milwaukee Brewers@ 1.79final: 5-6
Ganada+0.79u⚾New York Mets vs Chicago CubsMoney Line
24 jun · Chicago Cubs@ 1.83final: 3-10
Ganada+0.83u⚾Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee BrewersMoney Line
23 jun · Milwaukee Brewers@ 1.99final: 0-2
Ganada+0.99u⚾St. Louis Cardinals vs Arizona DiamondbacksMoney Line
22 jun · St. Louis Cardinals@ 1.69final: 3-2
Ganada+0.69u⚾Athletics vs Los Angeles AngelsMoney Line
21 jun · Los Angeles Angels@ 2.16final: 7-9
Ganada+1.16u⚾Houston Astros vs Cleveland GuardiansMoney Line
20 jun · Houston Astros@ 1.70final: 1-8
Perdida-1.00u⚾Miami Marlins vs San Francisco GiantsMoney Line
20 jun · Miami Marlins@ 1.71final: 6-3
Ganada+0.71u⚾Chicago Cubs vs Toronto Blue JaysMoney Line
19 jun · Chicago Cubs@ 1.83final: 16-2
Ganada+0.83u⚾Seattle Mariners vs Baltimore OriolesMoney Line
17 jun · Seattle Mariners@ 1.79final: 3-5
Perdida-1.00u⚾New York Yankees vs Chicago White SoxMoney Line
17 jun · New York Yankees@ 1.59final: 10-5
Ganada+0.59u⚾Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles AngelsMoney Line
17 jun · Los Angeles Angels@ 2.46final: 8-1
Perdida-1.00u⚾St. Louis Cardinals vs San Diego PadresMoney Line
17 jun · San Diego Padres@ 2.16final: 1-6
Ganada+1.16u⚾Atlanta Braves vs San Francisco GiantsMoney Line
17 jun · Atlanta Braves@ 1.67final: 2-7
Perdida-1.00u⚾Washington Nationals vs Kansas City RoyalsMoney Line
16 jun · Washington Nationals@ 1.77final: 6-4
Ganada+0.78u⚾Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia PhilliesMoney Line
14 jun · Milwaukee Brewers@ 2.13final: 4-0
Ganada+1.13u⚾Toronto Blue Jays vs New York YankeesMoney Line
14 jun · New York Yankees@ 1.85final: 3-8
Ganada+0.85u⚾San Francisco Giants vs Chicago CubsMoney Line
13 jun · Chicago Cubs@ 1.88final: 1-6
Ganada+0.88u⚾Kansas City Royals vs Houston AstrosMoney Line
13 jun · Kansas City Royals@ 1.82final: 7-8
Perdida-1.00u⚾Milwaukee Brewers vs Philadelphia PhilliesMoney Line
13 jun · Milwaukee Brewers@ 1.62final: 8-9
Perdida-1.00u⚾Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami MarlinsMoney Line
13 jun · Miami Marlins@ 1.98final: 3-2
Perdida-1.00u⚾Toronto Blue Jays vs New York YankeesMoney Line
13 jun · New York Yankees@ 1.88final: 1-3
Ganada+0.88u⚾Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle MarinersMoney Line
11 jun · Seattle Mariners@ 1.92final: 7-5
Perdida-1.00u⚾New York Mets vs St. Louis CardinalsMoney Line
11 jun · St. Louis Cardinals@ 2.31final: 5-4
Perdida-1.00u⚾Toronto Blue Jays vs Philadelphia PhilliesMoney Line
9 jun · Philadelphia Phillies@ 1.99final: 3-2
Perdida-1.00u⚾Cleveland Guardians vs New York YankeesMoney Line
9 jun · New York Yankees@ 1.74final: 2-3
Ganada+0.74u⚾St. Louis Cardinals vs Cincinnati RedsMoney Line
7 jun · St. Louis Cardinals@ 1.69final: 5-3
Ganada+0.69u⚾Detroit Tigers vs Seattle MarinersMoney Line
7 jun · Seattle Mariners@ 1.98final: 5-4
Perdida-1.00u⚾New York Yankees vs Boston Red SoxMoney Line
7 jun · New York Yankees@ 1.69final: 6-1
Ganada+0.69u⚾San Diego Padres vs New York MetsMoney Line
7 jun · New York Mets@ 1.86final: 3-2
Perdida-1.00u⚾Philadelphia Phillies vs Chicago White SoxMoney Line
6 jun · Chicago White Sox@ 2.22final: 3-6
Ganada+1.22u⚾Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore OriolesMoney Line
6 jun · Toronto Blue Jays@ 1.91final: 6-4
Ganada+0.91u⚾Minnesota Twins vs Kansas City RoyalsMoney Line
6 jun · Minnesota Twins@ 1.72final: 2-3
Perdida-1.00u⚾Detroit Tigers vs Seattle MarinersMoney Line
6 jun · Seattle Mariners@ 1.80final: 0-4
Ganada+0.80u⚾Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh PiratesMoney Line
5 jun · Atlanta Braves@ 1.73final: 6-3
Ganada+0.73u⚾Milwaukee Brewers vs San Francisco GiantsMoney Line
3 jun · Milwaukee Brewers@ 1.78final: 0-1
Perdida-1.00u⚾Seattle Mariners vs New York MetsMoney Line
3 jun · Seattle Mariners@ 1.72final: 1-7
Perdida-1.00u⚾Atlanta Braves vs Toronto Blue JaysMoney Line
2 jun · Atlanta Braves@ 1.80final: 4-3
Ganada+0.80u⚾Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego PadresMoney Line
2 jun · San Diego Padres@ 2.18final: 3-2
Perdida-1.00u⚽Cruzeiro vs Fluminense1X2
31 may · Cruzeiro@ 2.03final: 1-1
Perdida-1.00u⚾Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta BravesMoney Line
31 may · Atlanta Braves@ 1.76final: 6-4
Perdida-1.00u⚾Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue JaysMoney Line
31 may · Toronto Blue Jays@ 2.04final: 9-5
Perdida-1.00u⚾Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta BravesMoney Line
30 may · Atlanta Braves@ 1.79final: 2-5
Ganada+0.79u⚾Texas Rangers vs Kansas City RoyalsMoney Line
30 may · Texas Rangers@ 1.89final: 7-6
Ganada+0.89u⚾Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red SoxMoney Line
30 may · Cleveland Guardians@ 1.81final: 1-9
Perdida-1.00u⚾Houston Astros vs Milwaukee BrewersMoney Line
30 may · Houston Astros@ 2.03final: 9-2
Ganada+1.03u⚾Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles AngelsMoney Line
30 may · Tampa Bay Rays@ 1.62final: 3-14
Perdida-1.00u⚾New York Mets vs Miami MarlinsMoney Line
30 may · Miami Marlins@ 2.17final: 6-1
Perdida-1.00u⚾Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles AngelsMoney Line
29 may · Tampa Bay Rays@ 1.64final: 8-5
Ganada+0.64u⚾New York Mets vs Miami MarlinsMoney Line
29 may · Miami Marlins@ 2.09final: 9-7
Perdida-1.00u⚾Cincinnati Reds vs Atlanta BravesMoney Line
29 may · Atlanta Braves@ 1.76final: 3-8
Ganada+0.76u⚾Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue JaysMoney Line
28 may · Toronto Blue Jays@ 2.13final: 1-2
Ganada+1.13u⚾Milwaukee Brewers vs St. Louis CardinalsMoney Line
27 may · Milwaukee Brewers@ 1.70final: 2-1
Ganada+0.70u⚾New York Mets vs Cincinnati RedsMoney Line
26 may · Cincinnati Reds@ 1.87final: 2-7
Ganada+0.87u⚾Kansas City Royals vs New York YankeesMoney Line
25 may · Kansas City Royals@ 2.30final: 3-4
Perdida-1.00u⚾Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay RaysMoney Line
25 may · Tampa Bay Rays@ 1.76final: 9-7
Perdida-1.00u⚽SC Paderborn 07 vs VfL Wolfsburg1X2
25 may · VfL Wolfsburg@ 2.21final: 2-1
Perdida-1.00u⚽Vasco DA Gama vs RB Bragantino1X2
24 may · Vasco DA Gama@ 2.06final: 0-3
Perdida-1.00u⚾San Francisco Giants vs Chicago White SoxMoney Line
24 may · Chicago White Sox@ 1.96final: 8-5
Perdida-1.00u⚾Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado RockiesMoney Line
24 may · Arizona Diamondbacks@ 1.53final: 9-1
Ganada+0.53u⚾Cincinnati Reds vs St. Louis CardinalsMoney Line
24 may · St. Louis Cardinals@ 1.97final: 1-8
Ganada+0.97u⚾Kansas City Royals vs Seattle MarinersMoney Line
24 may · Seattle Mariners@ 1.86final: 8-6
Perdida-1.00u⚽Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth1X2
24 may · Bournemouth@ 2.07final: 1-1
Perdida-1.00u⚽Fulham vs Newcastle1X2
24 may · Newcastle@ 2.38final: 2-0
Perdida-1.00u⚽Crystal Palace vs Arsenal1X2
24 may · Arsenal@ 1.91final: 1-2
Ganada+0.91u⚽Sunderland vs ChelseaTotal de goles 2.5
24 may · Más de 2.5@ 1.76final: 2-1
Ganada+0.76u⚾Kansas City Royals vs Seattle MarinersMoney Line
23 may · Seattle Mariners@ 1.85final: 5-0
Perdida-1.00u⚾Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh PiratesMoney Line
23 may · Pittsburgh Pirates@ 1.71final: 5-2
Perdida-1.00u⚽Real Madrid vs Athletic Club1X2
23 may · Real Madrid@ 1.54final: 4-2
Ganada+0.54u⚽Celta Vigo vs Sevilla1X2
23 may · Celta Vigo@ 2.02final: 1-0
Ganada+1.02u⚽Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano1X2
23 may · Alaves@ 2.32final: 1-2
Perdida-1.00u⚽Lazio vs Pisa1X2
23 may · Lazio@ 1.60final: 2-1
Ganada+0.60u⚾Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado RockiesMoney Line
22 may · Arizona Diamondbacks@ 1.48final: 2-3
Perdida-1.00u⚾Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles DodgersMoney Line
22 may · Los Angeles Dodgers@ 1.96final: 5-1
Perdida-1.00u⚾Toronto Blue Jays vs Pittsburgh PiratesMoney Line
22 may · Toronto Blue Jays@ 1.65final: 6-2
Ganada+0.65u⚾Baltimore Orioles vs Detroit TigersMoney Line
22 may · Baltimore Orioles@ 1.76final: 7-4
Ganada+0.76u⚽Fiorentina vs Atalanta1X2
22 may · Atalanta@ 2.40final: 1-1
Perdida-1.00u⚾Los Angeles Angels vs AthleticsMoney Line
21 may · Los Angeles Angels@ 1.87final: 2-3
Perdida-1.00u⚽Cruz Azul vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas1X2
21 may · Cruz Azul@ 1.75final: 0-0
Perdida-1.00u⚾New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue JaysMoney Line
21 may · New York Yankees@ 1.64final: 0-2
Perdida-1.00u⚾Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland GuardiansMoney Line
21 may · Cleveland Guardians@ 2.07final: 1-3
Ganada+1.07u⚾St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh PiratesMoney Line
21 may · Pittsburgh Pirates@ 1.81final: 2-6
Ganada+0.81u⚾San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles DodgersTotal de carreras 8.0
20 may · Menos de 8.0@ 1.71final: 0-4
Ganada+0.71u⚾San Diego Padres vs Los Angeles DodgersMoney Line
20 may · Los Angeles Dodgers@ 1.55final: 0-4
Ganada+0.55u⚾Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red SoxMoney Line
20 may · Kansas City Royals@ 1.86final: 3-4
Perdida-1.00u⚾Miami Marlins vs Atlanta BravesMoney Line
20 may · Atlanta Braves@ 1.56final: 1-9
Ganada+0.56u⚾Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco GiantsTotal de carreras 8.5
20 may · Más de 8.5@ 1.81final: 6-3
Ganada+0.81u⚾Arizona Diamondbacks vs San Francisco GiantsMoney Line
19 may · Arizona Diamondbacks@ 1.83final: 5-3
Ganada+0.83u⚾St. Louis Cardinals vs Pittsburgh PiratesMoney Line
19 may · Pittsburgh Pirates@ 1.97final: 9-6
Perdida-1.00u⚾New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue JaysMoney Line
19 may · New York Yankees@ 1.78final: 5-4
Ganada+0.78u
Metodología
P&L por pick mostrado en unidades (1u = tu apuesta estándar). Si ganas con cuota 1.85 → +0.85u; cuota 2.46 → +1.46u. Si pierdes → -1.00u. El ROI total agregado se muestra arriba como porcentaje sobre el stake total. Trackeamos cada pick desde el momento de publicación. Cero cherry-picking, cero backtests sintéticos.
El headline cuenta solo picksRecomendado(tier Alta).
Tier Media se publica comoAnálisis— analizado pero no recomendado para apostar. Su track aparece aparte en la sección "Desglose por tier" arriba.